2025 Media & Entertainment Industry Predictions Report
The analysis projects that artificial intelligence will be the primary catalyst for change across the media and entertainment landscape in 2025, enhancing human talent rather than replacing it. Streaming services continue to dominate revenue streams, with global SVOD and AVOD income projected to surpass $165 billion despite a fragmented market of over 200 platforms. Consumer churn and escalating content costs drive consolidation, leading to bundled or aggregated subscription models that are expected to account for 60–70 % of purchases in mature markets. Traditional multichannel pay‑TV providers are forecast to lose half their U.S. subscriber base, falling below 50 million users, prompting a shift toward “stream‑hub” offerings that combine broadband with multiple streaming services at competitive prices. Video multichannel distributors such as YouTube TV are projected to peak and then decline due to rising costs, live‑sports migration to direct‑to‑consumer services, and intensified OTT competition.
Cloud gaming is set for a 44 % CAGR through 2030, driven by faster broadband, AI‑enhanced virtualization, and new commercial models. Console and PC sales are expected to wane as consumers redirect spending toward streaming devices, with subscription‑based monetization replacing one‑time purchases. The sector’s growth hinges on resolving commercial model constraints, particularly the need for more attractive storefront incentives to unlock mass adoption and realize a $64 billion market by 2030.
In creative media, firms will increasingly deploy proprietary large‑language models while navigating intellectual property risks and regulatory frameworks such as the EU AI Act. Eight core governance building blocks—risk management, training oversight, compliance, testing, and incident response—are identified as essential for mitigating AI‑related challenges. Retail media and search are undergoing rapid transformation, with retailers partnering with streaming and social platforms to manage fragmented ecosystems, privacy rules, and AI‑driven formats. Generative AI is eroding Google’s dominance by enabling conversational, multimodal search experiences from competitors like OpenAI, Perplexity, Amazon, and TikTok. Consequently, Google’s share of search advertising is projected to decline modestly worldwide (from 57 % to 55 %) and in the U.S. (51 % to 48 %), as shoppable content, live shopping, and AI query volume shift revenue toward alternative platforms. Marketers will adapt by optimizing for AI‑generated summaries, voice, and visual search to align with evolving consumer behavior.