Predictions for the Digital Economy in 2026

The analysis projects a rapid expansion of the digital economy through 2026, driven primarily by generative AI applications and vertical video formats. Generative‑AI apps are expected to generate more than $10 billion in in‑app purchase revenue by 2026, with downloads projected to reach 4 billion and user engagement exceeding 43 billion hours. The genre will climb into the top five mobile categories across downloads, revenue, and time spent, surpassing established sectors such as shopping and movies. Short‑drama vertical video is forecast to overtake traditional OTT streaming in global downloads, narrowing the revenue gap and capturing 40 % of time spent by 2026.

Digital advertising spending is shifting back toward image‑based creatives, with a 35 % year‑over‑year increase in image ad spend and a projected acceleration of this trend by 2026, especially within social channels where Reels and similar formats dominate. Meanwhile, generative AI traffic to the top 1,000 U.S. websites is projected to rise by more than 130 % YoY, reaching a point where half of these sites receive higher traffic from AI than paid sources by the end of 2026.

Mobile game acquisition costs remain high, and the market is trending toward smaller, ad‑native titles that can monetize efficiently. Steam releases are accelerating, with 2025 already breaking records for new titles, indicating a shift toward faster, lower‑budget development cycles. Overall, the report underscores a digital landscape increasingly shaped by AI‑driven content and streamlined monetization models across mobile, web, and gaming sectors.