Market Forecast

The study investigates the emerging video‑game ecosystem in West Africa, focusing on Senegal, Côte d’Ivoire and Cameroon, to assess current player demographics, awareness of locally produced titles, and the factors shaping market potential. By surveying 785 gamers between July and August 2023, the research aims to inform development initiatives such as the Game Hub Senegal incubator, which seeks to nurture talent, provide mentorship and financing, and foster a community around African‑themed games.

Findings reveal a heavily male‑skewed player base—approximately 80 % men—and a concentration of respondents aged 19‑25, who together account for roughly 45 % of participants in each country. Android devices dominate, with over 80 % of gamers using this platform, and most players engage in one to two sessions per day. Despite this activity, exposure to African‑origin games is minimal: 60‑66 % of respondents have never played a locally developed title, and more than 82 % report never having heard of such games. Among the few who have, evaluations are generally positive, describing the experiences as “good” or better.

Motivations for playing centre on “challenges and evolution,” cited by about 37 % of respondents, followed by social interaction with friends (16 %) and graphics quality (8 %). Financial barriers are pronounced; roughly 51 % lack a bank card, limiting their ability to spend on games. For those who do make purchases, the primary drivers are acquiring the game itself (≈ 42 %) and unlocking new levels (≈ 18 %).

Overall, the data suggest that while payment infrastructure and awareness of African‑produced games constrain current consumption, the region’s youthful, mobile‑centric audience and strong appetite for challenging content position the market for rapid expansion in the near term.

The global PC gaming market reached record heights in 2023, generating $9 billion in revenue from 580 million units sold on Steam. This performance represents a significant growth spurt following a period of stagnation between 2020 and 2022. The market was primarily driven by a strong slate of premium releases, particularly in the RPG genre, and benefited from a lagging supply of current-generation consoles. Despite nearly 14,000 games being released during the year, the market remains highly concentrated; the top 10 games accounted for 61% of total revenue, while the top 100 games captured 91% of the market share.

A notable shift in consumer preference occurred in 2023, as high-quality, story-focused premium titles without microtransactions outperformed live-service models. Success was not limited to major publishers, as several breakout hits were developed by small indie teams. However, financial success remains elusive for the vast majority of developers, with only 5% of new releases earning more than $100,000. While Action and Adventure remain the dominant genres, RPGs saw the most significant growth, whereas Simulation and MMO categories lost market share.

The outlook for 2024 suggests a temporary contraction due to a lighter release schedule and increased competition from discounted consoles and subscription services. However, long-term forecasts through 2028 remain positive, driven by the continued expansion of Steam’s global user base and the migration of formerly console-exclusive titles to PC. Growth is expected to be fueled by rising average prices for both AAA and indie titles rather than rapid increases in unit sales. Data for these findings was derived from proprietary algorithms and the Boxleiter method, which estimates sales and revenue based on Steam reviews and public platform metrics.

The analysis evaluates how the mobile ecosystem and digital advertising evolved through 2022 and projects future dynamics, using Sensor Tower’s App Store and Google Play data, quarterly download and revenue estimates, and ad‑spend figures from North America and major European markets. It frames the mobile economy as still expanding beyond pre‑COVID levels while noting a slowdown in install growth, with India, the United States, Brazil and Indonesia leading global downloads and emerging markets such as Africa poised for rapid gains as smartphone penetration rises.

Mobile games retained dominance, accounting for over 50 billion downloads and generating roughly $79 billion in revenue, yet 2022 marked the first year of year‑over‑year revenue decline, driven by reduced spending in the United States, Japan and other major economies. Utilities—particularly VPN apps in India—became the fastest‑growing category, while Turkey showed the sharpest adoption increase but faced inflation‑driven limits on consumer spend. Venture‑capital funding contracted, raising concerns about the emergence of new app disruptors, and Android revenue fell 30 percent year‑over‑year, contrasted with a modest 1 percent iOS growth.

Spending patterns shifted as entertainment apps eclipsed social networking in the United States, with TikTok, HBO Max and Disney+ leading a surge that doubled 2019 levels and made entertainment revenue twice that of the next‑largest non‑game category. In Japan, a manga‑reader app topped overall gross revenue for the first time, highlighting diversification beyond games.

The global games market is entering a period of recovery in 2023, characterized by a projected revenue of $187.7 billion and a total player base of 3.38 billion. This 2.6% year-on-year growth signals a stabilization following the post-pandemic market correction of 2022. While mobile gaming remains the largest revenue segment, console gaming serves as the primary catalyst for this year’s expansion, rebounding significantly from previous development delays. Looking toward 2026, the industry is expected to maintain this upward trajectory, with total revenues forecasted to reach $212.4 billion.

Regional performance remains uneven, as strong console demand in Western markets contrasts with slower growth in the Asia-Pacific region, where regulatory challenges in China continue to dampen momentum. To mitigate rising production costs and extended development cycles, studios are increasingly prioritizing live-service monetization models and integrating generative AI into their workflows. While these technologies offer potential for streamlined asset creation and prototyping, their long-term viability is complicated by unresolved legal and ethical concerns regarding copyright and intellectual property.

The industry is undergoing a structural shift toward digital-first engagement, evidenced by the continued decline of physical media and the rise of transmedia strategies and influencer-led development. Hardware diversification is also accelerating, with the emergence of complementary handheld devices expanding the reach of traditional platforms. Despite these advancements, specific genres are experiencing shifting player preferences; while adventure and shooter titles remain dominant, the battle royale genre is losing traction. Furthermore, the mobile sector faces persistent headwinds in monetization and user acquisition, largely driven by evolving privacy policies that have impacted the performance of previously lucrative genres like RPGs.

The mobile app market is poised for a transformative year in 2024, characterized by the integration of artificial intelligence, a shift in social media monetization, and a rebound in gaming expenditures. This analysis, based on proprietary market estimates and historical data, identifies five critical trends that will define the industry landscape. The findings suggest that while macroeconomic headwinds have previously constrained growth, strategic pivots toward direct consumer monetization and AI-driven functionality are creating new avenues for revenue.

A primary driver of 2024 growth is the proliferation of generative AI, with 2.3 billion downloads expected to feature AI-integrated functionality. This represents a 40% year-over-year increase, fueled by the rapid adoption of chatbots and photo-editing tools. Simultaneously, the mobile gaming sector is projected to recover from recent declines, with consumer spending expected to reach $111.4 billion—a 4% year-over-year increase. The United States, Japan, and South Korea are identified as the primary engines for this recovery, with RPG and match-based genres leading the growth.

The social media landscape is undergoing a structural shift as microblogging platforms face declining daily active users in favor of video-first platforms. TikTok is positioned to become the highest-grossing app in history, projected to surpass $14.6 billion in lifetime consumer spend. This success is driving a broader industry trend where social networks are moving away from pure ad-based models toward in-app purchases and creator-tipping features. Media-sharing networks are expected to see a 152% increase in consumer spend, reaching $1.3 billion as platforms increasingly shift costs from advertisers to end-users. These trends collectively indicate a move toward more diversified, direct-to-consumer revenue streams across the global mobile ecosystem.

Global mobile market projections for 2023 indicate a complex landscape defined by shifting consumer priorities and economic pressures. While total mobile advertising spend is expected to reach $362 billion, growth is projected to slow due to macroeconomic headwinds. Short-form video apps are anticipated to be the primary drivers of this ad spend, helping to offset a decline in performance marketing budgets. Conversely, mobile gaming is facing a downturn, with consumer spending forecasted to drop to $107 billion in 2023. This decline is attributed to a combination of the global economic squeeze and tightening privacy regulations, such as IDFA and Google’s upcoming changes, which complicate the targeting of high-spending users.

Despite the contraction in gaming spend, specific high-performing titles continue to reach massive financial milestones. Fourteen new apps and games are projected to surpass $2 billion in lifetime consumer spend during 2023, with eleven of those being games. Notably, the video streaming sector remains robust, with platforms like HBO Max and iQIYI expected to join the $3 billion lifetime spend club, reflecting a sustained consumer shift toward mobile-first entertainment.

The broader mobile economy is also seeing a migration of retail dollars toward experiential sectors. As discretionary income tightens, consumers are prioritizing travel, live events, sports, and wellness over physical goods. This shift is supported by a long-term trend of increasing mobile engagement; total time spent in apps is forecasted to surpass 6 trillion hours by 2028. This growth is fueled by 5G rollout and the deepening personalization of apps, with emerging markets in Latin America, Southeast Asia, and the Middle East driving significant engagement. These findings are based on proprietary market estimates and historical data analysis of global app store performance and consumer behavior.

The PC and console gaming market entered a corrective phase in 2022, generating $92.3 billion in revenue despite a 2.2% year-on-year decline and a 15% drop in playtime. This contraction represents a stabilization toward pre-pandemic levels rather than a long-term downturn, as the market still outperformed pre-COVID forecasts by more than $32 billion. While total engagement fell, particularly among hardcore players who reduced playtime by 37%, the industry maintains a massive global audience of 1.1 billion PC and 611 million console players. This foundation is increasingly defined by a shift toward recurring revenue, with microtransactions and downloadable content now accounting for nearly half of all consumer spending.

Market dynamics are currently shaped by the dominance of established live-service titles and the successful integration of transmedia strategies. Games like Fortnite and Roblox continue to lead in monthly active users, while media adaptations have proven effective at revitalizing older intellectual properties. The player base has also become more diverse and socially driven, with women comprising 40% of the audience and 72% of users engaging across multiple platforms. Beyond traditional gameplay, three-quarters of players participate in social activities or content creation, indicating that gaming has evolved into a broader lifestyle ecosystem where multi-platform "core gamers" represent the highest-value consumer segment.

The outlook for 2023 and beyond suggests a robust recovery fueled by stabilized hardware supply chains and a dense schedule of highly anticipated blockbuster releases. While PC revenue is expected to grow steadily, console gaming is positioned as the primary driver of market expansion over the next three years. High consumer awareness for upcoming major titles, combined with the continued pivot toward hybrid monetization and cross-media expansion, points toward a resilient industry capable of sustaining growth well above historical norms. This trajectory reinforces the transition of the sector from a product-based model to a service-oriented landscape defined by long-term engagement and social connectivity.

The global cloud gaming market is entering a phase of maturity, with 2022 revenues projected to reach $2.4 billion supported by a base of 31.7 million paying users. Despite high-profile shifts in the ecosystem, such as the closure of Google Stadia, the industry remains fundamentally viable as major platform holders like Xbox and PlayStation successfully integrate cloud technology to complement traditional hardware. This evolution is primarily driven by the increasing seamlessness of services, which allows players to bypass local hardware limitations and access high-end content instantly across a diverse range of devices.

Market projections indicate a robust growth trajectory through 2025, at which point paying users are expected to reach 86.9 million and annual revenues are forecasted to climb to $8.2 billion. This expansion is underpinned by the global rollout of 5G networks, improved service profitability, and the emergence of cloud infrastructure as the foundational backbone for the metaverse. Strategic scaling by major players, including Alibaba’s YuanJing, aims to support massive concurrent user experiences while overcoming the constraints of physical hardware on a global scale.

Technological innovation in infrastructure-as-a-service models is further accelerating adoption by lowering costs for both telecom operators and consumers. By utilizing GPU edge computing within carrier networks, providers can deliver high-quality gaming experiences with reduced latency. The industry is also refining its internal metrics and consumer segmentation, distinguishing between cloud-enabled and cloud-native content to better target diverse player demographics. These developments suggest that cloud gaming is transitioning from a niche technology into a central pillar of the broader interactive entertainment landscape.

The global mobile gaming landscape has entered a period of stabilization following pandemic-era surges, with quarterly downloads maintaining a steady baseline of 14 billion. Although total revenue experienced a 6% year-over-year decline to $21.2 billion in early 2022, the market remains significantly larger than its pre-pandemic state. Casual games continue to lead in volume, representing 80% of all downloads, yet Mid-Core titles remain the primary economic engine, generating 60% of total player spending. While the United States maintains its position as the leading consumer market, the Asia-Pacific region exerts increasing influence, evidenced by Taiwan’s rise to the fifth-largest global market and the region's dominance in high-monetization genres like MMORPGs and Card Battlers.

Strategic advertising and intellectual property integration have become essential for navigating this competitive environment. Strategy and RPG titles are increasingly prioritizing YouTube for share of voice, while the acquisition of MoPub by AppLovin has shifted the advertising landscape for strategy games. Success in the rapidly growing Card Battler sub-genre, which earns 62% of its revenue from the APAC region, is largely driven by high-performing titles like Yu-Gi-Oh! Master Duel and the effective use of Live Ops and Season Passes. Furthermore, cross-media synergies, such as the impact of the Netflix series Arcane on game downloads, demonstrate the power of multimedia IP in driving user acquisition.

The market outlook suggests a temporary correction phase with a projected return to growth by 2023. While Asian markets currently account for 80% of MMORPG revenue, Western interest is growing, as seen with the successful U.S. launch of Diablo Immortal. Similarly, the Real-Time Strategy sector is seeing a geographic shift, with China overtaking the U.S. as the top market for the sub-genre. Future expansion across these segments will likely depend on localized IP collaborations and sophisticated user acquisition strategies tailored to specific regional preferences.

The global esports and live streaming industry is undergoing a period of robust expansion, with total esports revenue projected to reach $1.38 billion in 2022 and an audience base of 532 million people. This growth trajectory is expected to continue, with market valuations potentially hitting $1.86 billion by 2025. While sponsorship remains the dominant revenue stream, accounting for nearly 60 percent of total earnings, the industry is actively diversifying its financial models. Organizations are increasingly pivoting toward direct-to-fan strategies, including digital merchandise, loyalty programs, and educational initiatives, to mitigate risk and transition toward sustainable, lifestyle-oriented business models.

The live streaming sector serves as a critical pillar of this ecosystem, with its audience projected to grow to 1.41 billion by 2025. Market dominance is currently split between major platforms like Twitch, YouTube Gaming, and Facebook Gaming, each leveraging distinct regional strengths. Twitch maintains a stronghold in Western PC and console markets, whereas YouTube and Facebook are capitalizing on the rapid proliferation of mobile gaming in emerging economies. These platforms are further evolving by integrating non-gaming content and interactive features to enhance user retention and broaden monetization opportunities.

Despite the positive outlook, the industry must navigate potential volatility stemming from shifting media consumption habits, evolving publisher investment strategies, and the lingering economic effects of the pandemic. Nevertheless, the sector remains highly attractive to stakeholders due to its core demographic of young, high-income professionals. As the market matures, the integration of co-streaming and the expansion into emerging regions—supported by localized platforms—will be essential for maintaining long-term growth and fostering deeper engagement with a global, digitally native audience.

Global mobile‑app consumer spending is projected to reach $233 billion by 2026, reflecting a rise of more than $100 billion from 2021. The App Store will drive a 14 % CAGR ($161 billion), while Google Play will grow at 9 % ($72 billion). Worldwide downloads are expected to exceed 180 billion, with Google Play contributing 143 billion (5.2 % CAGR) and the App Store about 38 billion (3 % CAGR). The United States remains the largest market, expanding at a 16.5 % CAGR; non‑game spending is set to rebound and equal game revenue by 2026.

In Europe, mature markets show limited upside. The United Kingdom’s growth is projected at only 1 %, and Germany and France are expected to decline slightly. The bulk of regional growth—about 5 %—will come from eastern European countries such as Ukraine, Romania, Poland and Russia. No other top European market is expected to exceed 10 % growth by 2026, underscoring saturation in Western Europe.

Across Asia and the Americas, the United States will continue to outpace China on both App Store spending and downloads. India remains the leader in Google Play adoption. Mobile‑game revenue is projected to decline on both platforms, with non‑game apps surpassing games in consumer spending by 2024. Overall app revenue growth will outpace game growth (CAGR 23% vs. 6%). The pandemic’s legacy is evident, with business‑app installs doubling and travel apps still lagging behind pre‑COVID levels.

The forecast emphasizes the importance of data‑driven decisions for organic growth, strategic benchmarking and financial analysis. Sensor Tower’s suite of tools—Top Charts, App Intelligence, Store Intelligence, Ad Intelligence and Usage Intelligence—provides competitive insights into app performance, store optimization, ad spend, SDK usage and user demographics. Daily market intelligence is available through the Sensor Tower blog, with demos offered for deeper engagement with its analytics platform.

The analysis outlines a 2022 outlook for the global mobile‑gaming market, emphasizing that quarterly installs have plateaued at roughly 14 billion after a pandemic‑driven surge, with casual titles still accounting for about 80 % of downloads. Revenue dynamics have shifted: mid‑core games now generate 60 % of total earnings, while overall mobile‑game revenue fell 7 % year‑over‑year in Q1 2022, marking the first decline since the industry’s rapid expansion. The United States remains the largest spend market, yet Asia‑Pacific regions—especially Taiwan and Brazil—exhibit the fastest growth rates.

Advertising spend analysis reveals that role‑playing games dominate iOS channels, with YouTube capturing an 8.2 % share of voice and exceeding 10 % in Q2 2022; Android spend lags across all networks. Card‑battler titles emerge as the fastest‑growing sub‑genre, driven largely by Japan and China, which together account for 62 % of player spending. Yu‑Gi‑Oh! Master Duel leads launch revenue, reaching $80 million in five months and achieving a worldwide revenue per day of $20—twice that of its nearest competitor. MMORPGs hold the second‑largest spending position globally, with Diablo Immortal topping U.S. spend at $22 million in H1 2022 and maintaining a modest 10 % share of U.S. MMORPG installs.

In the United States, Diablo Immortal generated over $30 million in its first six weeks and captured 3.2 % of mid‑core revenue, yet U.S. players still lag behind Asian markets where Lineage M and Odin: Valhalla Rising amassed $225–$350 million in the same period. The report underscores that U.S. MMORPG revenue represents only about 4 % of the global total, highlighting the critical need for localized market strategies in future mobile RPG releases.