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5 Mobile App Predictions for 2024
The mobile app market is poised for a transformative year in 2024, characterized by the integration of artificial intelligence, a shift in social media monetization, and a rebound in gaming expenditures. This analysis, based on proprietary market estimates and historical data, identifies five critical trends that will define the industry landscape. The findings suggest that while macroeconomic headwinds have previously constrained growth, strategic pivots toward direct consumer monetization and AI-driven functionality are creating new avenues for revenue. A primary driver of 2024 growth is the proliferation of generative AI, with 2.3 billion downloads expected to feature AI-integrated functionality. This represents a 40% year-over-year increase, fueled by the rapid adoption of chatbots and photo-editing tools. Simultaneously, the mobile gaming sector is projected to recover from recent declines, with consumer spending expected to reach $111.4 billion—a 4% year-over-year increase. The United States, Japan, and South Korea are identified as the primary engines for this recovery, with RPG and match-based genres leading the growth. The social media landscape is undergoing a structural shift as microblogging platforms face declining daily active users in favor of video-first platforms. TikTok is positioned to become the highest-grossing app in history, projected to surpass $14.6 billion in lifetime consumer spend. This success is driving a broader industry trend where social networks are moving away from pure ad-based models toward in-app purchases and creator-tipping features. Media-sharing networks are expected to see a 152% increase in consumer spend, reaching $1.3 billion as platforms increasingly shift costs from advertisers to end-users. These trends collectively indicate a move toward more diversified, direct-to-consumer revenue streams across the global mobile ecosystem.
data.aiJan 2023
Report
Mobile Market Forecast 2022‑2026
The forecast projects a decisive shift in the global mobile app economy between 2022 and 2026, positioning the United States as the pre‑eminent App Store market for both consumer spending and download volume, overtaking China for the first time. While the United States already leads Google Play revenue, India continues to register the highest adoption rates, and Brazil is expected to break into the top tier of markets by the mid‑term horizon. Growth is predicted to decelerate in 2022, reflecting macro‑economic headwinds, but a robust rebound is anticipated from 2023 onward, driven by renewed consumer confidence and expanding monetisation strategies across emerging regions. The analysis draws on comprehensive data covering major geographic territories—including North America, Europe, East Asia, South Asia, and Latin America—and spans the full spectrum of mobile industry segments, from app store transactions and download activity to advertising spend and software‑development‑kit performance. By integrating these variables, the forecast delivers a granular view of revenue trajectories, market share dynamics, and user‑acquisition trends that inform strategic planning for developers, marketers, and investors. Underlying the outlook is Sensor Tower’s suite of intelligence products—Store, App, Ad, Usage, and Benchmark Intelligence—designed to support organic growth, optimise paid acquisition, and evaluate SDK efficacy. The firm’s proprietary data and analytical tools underpin the projections, while usage policies restrict unauthorised redistribution of the findings. Contact channels for demonstrations, media, and sales are provided to facilitate deeper engagement with the platform’s capabilities.
Sensor TowerJan 2022
Report
Mobile Market Forecast: 2021-2025
The global mobile application market is entering a period of sustained expansion, with total consumer spending projected to reach $270 billion and annual downloads expected to hit 230 billion by 2025. Although the rapid acceleration in activity triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic is normalizing, the industry maintains strong momentum across both the Apple App Store and Google Play. This growth is underpinned by a fundamental shift in revenue composition, as non-game applications increasingly capture market share. Projections indicate that non-game revenue will account for nearly half of total spending by 2025, with these applications expected to surpass gaming revenue on the App Store as early as 2024. Geographically, the market landscape is evolving as mature regions and emerging economies follow distinct trajectories. While Asia continues to dominate global download volume, fueled largely by the massive scale of the Indian market, Europe is emerging as the primary engine for future revenue growth with a projected compound annual growth rate of 23 percent. Meanwhile, mature markets such as the United States are experiencing a deceleration in new app adoption, yet they continue to demonstrate significant increases in per-user spending. China, the United States, and India remain the most critical pillars of the global mobile economy. These trends underscore a maturing ecosystem where developers and marketers must pivot toward high-value non-gaming sectors and capitalize on the rising monetization potential within European markets. As the industry moves toward 2025, the ability to leverage granular data on user demographics, advertising performance, and SDK adoption will be essential for navigating the shifting competitive landscape. The continued resilience of consumer spending, even as download growth stabilizes, confirms that the mobile economy remains a primary driver of global digital commerce.
Sensor TowerJan 2021
Report
State of Mobile 2024
The global mobile economy experienced a significant recovery in 2023, with consumer spending rising 3% to $171 billion and daily engagement surpassing five hours per user in leading markets. While mobile gaming faced a slight 2% contraction in spending due to economic headwinds and a shift toward longer title life cycles, the broader industry was bolstered by a resilient non-gaming sector. This growth was primarily driven by social media "tipping," video streaming subscriptions, and the rapid emergence of generative AI. Mobile advertising also remained a cornerstone of the ecosystem, reaching $362 billion with projections to exceed $400 billion in the coming year. The landscape is increasingly defined by a shift in consumer behavior and monetization strategies. Non-gaming apps reached a record $64 billion in spend, led by TikTok, which became the first non-game app to surpass $10 billion in lifetime revenue. In contrast, the gaming market saw a decline in new hit releases, with the industry consolidating around established high-fidelity IPs and social multiplayer genres like Creative Sandbox and Battle Royale. Despite this consolidation, breakout successes like Monopoly GO and Honkai: Star Rail demonstrated that high-quality debuts can still disrupt saturated markets. Across various sectors, mobile integration has reached unprecedented levels. Travel and ticketing apps saw record-breaking demand as consumers returned to in-person events, while the finance sector experienced a surge in personal loan apps and "Super Apps" amid global inflation. Retail also underwent a structural shift as China-based platforms like Temu gained significant global market share. Ultimately, the 2023 data reflects a mature mobile market where growth is increasingly tied to sophisticated AI integration, creator-driven economies, and the transition of traditional services into comprehensive digital hubs.
data.aiJan 2024