Advertising

The forecast outlines how generative‑AI, short‑form video and evolving ad formats will reshape the digital economy by 2026. It argues that AI‑driven applications will move from a niche category to a core revenue engine, rivaling traditional paid‑media traffic and reshaping user‑acquisition dynamics across mobile, web and gaming. The analysis draws on Sensor Tower’s app‑store, advertising and web‑traffic datasets, applying its App IQ and Game IQ taxonomies to the top publishers, the 1,000 most‑visited U.S. sites and the leading Steam releases, with historical data through December 2025 and forward projections to 2026.

Generative‑AI apps are projected to generate more than $10 billion in worldwide in‑app‑purchase revenue, achieve 7.2 billion downloads and capture 43 billion hours of usage in 2026—an 82 % year‑over‑year increase that will place the genre among the top five for downloads, revenue and engagement. Short‑drama vertical video is forecast to overtake traditional OTT streaming in download volume, securing roughly 80 % of downloads and closing the IAP gap to 20 % of OTT’s share, driven by rapid adoption in markets such as India, Indonesia and Brazil. Meanwhile, U.S. digital ad spend will total $20 billion, with image‑based creatives outpacing video growth (35 % versus 15 % YoY) as social platforms, especially Meta’s Reels, shift budgets toward static formats.

On the web, generative‑AI traffic will surpass paid sources on more than half of the top 1,000 U.S. sites by the end of 2026, up from 37 % in late 2025,

The report analyzes global marketing activity for productivity apps during the first half of 2025, drawing on a dataset of over 1.6 billion ad creatives from more than 80 channels across 80+ countries. It shows that the total pool of mobile app (non‑game) advertisers fell 17.8 % YoY to an average of 107 k per month, while new advertiser share rose to 11.7 %. In the productivity‑app segment, active advertisers declined 6 % YoY to about 8.9 k per month, yet the proportion of new entrants exceeded 30 % after Q2. Regional analysis indicates Europe and North America remain the largest markets, but both experienced declines in advertiser counts; Oceania shows the highest creatives per advertiser. Category‑level data reveal business & office apps hold 14.4 % of advertisers, whereas entertainment apps dominate creative volume at 32.7 %. Platform performance data highlight Meta, Google, and TikTok as the top three channels for cross‑platform campaigns; Google delivers the highest conversion rates, Meta offers AI‑enhanced targeting, and TikTok provides cost‑efficient Gen Z engagement with a CPM of $3.2. Creative format insights show video and playable ads outperform static creatives, with TikTok favoring short native videos (15–60 s) and Meta using a mix of carousel and video. The report recommends a cross‑platform strategy that prioritizes video and playable formats, leverages AI for rapid creative iteration, and tailors messaging to include social proof, urgency, and lifestyle integration. The data were collected from January to June 2025 through sampling of global ad channels, with statistical forecasting and industry interviews used for analysis.

The analysis demonstrates that while the global pool of active AI‑advertisers has contracted by 35–45 % in H1 2025, the remaining players are compensating with a markedly higher creative output—an 84 % increase to an average of 416 monthly creatives per advertiser. Video advertising dominates the landscape, with 84 % of all ads and more than half of inventory in 15‑30 second formats. Geographic patterns reveal that Europe and North America maintain the largest advertiser volumes, yet exhibit lower creative density than Japan and South Korea, which show the fastest growth rates. Market saturation appears to be driving these firms toward intensified brand exposure through increased creative frequency, even as overall advertiser participation declines.

Meitu’s financial results corroborate the commercial potency of AI‑driven features. Revenue rose 12.3 % to RMB 1.8 billion, largely propelled by a 45.2 % jump in AI‑powered imaging and design subscriptions to RMB 1.35 billion, while advertising income grew modestly by 5 %. The company’s flagship AI applications—“AI Wardrobe,” “WHEE,” and “Wink”—secured top positions in App Store charts across more than twelve countries, underscoring the role of AI enhancements in global user acquisition and subscription monetization.

The broader ecosystem of AI‑powered mobile apps, including chatbots, development tools, and educational platforms, continues to enjoy strong monthly active user figures and high stickiness. However, product overlap creates fierce competition, making clear positioning and precise subscription pricing essential for successful global expansion. Rapid overseas success is achievable when apps tailor local marketing strategies to regional preferences. These conclusions are drawn from SocialPeta’s extensive dataset of 1.6 billion advertising data points, sampled across 80+ channels and regions from January 2024 to June 2025.

The analysis evaluates global digital‑marketing dynamics for the final quarter of 2025, emphasizing shifts in channel performance, the rise of generative‑AI as a discovery source, and the concentration of retail‑media reach among dominant platforms. Growth patterns reveal a stark regional divide: India stands alone among the five largest markets as the only one posting positive overall change, while other leading economies recorded declines or stagnation.

In the United States, retail‑media impressions expanded 13 percent quarter‑over‑quarter to reach 123 billion, with Amazon accounting for the entire volume and delivering more than six times the impressions generated by Walmart. This concentration underscores Amazon’s expanding role as the primary conduit for retail‑media exposure in North America. Across the same period, generative‑AI referrals, although still representing less than one percent of total traffic, surged dramatically—up 133 percent year‑over‑year in the United States, United Kingdom and France, and 126 percent in Canada. The rapid acceleration signals that chat‑based assistants such as ChatGPT, Claude and Gemini are emerging as significant discovery engines despite their modest share of overall visits.

Conversely, traditional organic search experienced the only decline among major acquisition channels, falling four percent year‑over‑year. Paid advertising, email marketing and other performance‑driven tactics continued to post gains, reinforcing a broader transition toward paid and AI‑augmented pathways for user acquisition. The findings collectively illustrate a digital‑marketing ecosystem increasingly dominated by platform‑centric retail media and AI‑driven referral mechanisms, while legacy search channels lose ground in mature markets.

The global digital landscape reached a significant milestone in the second quarter of 2025, as in-app purchase revenue hit a record $40 billion. This period marked a historic structural shift in the mobile economy, with non-gaming applications accounting for 52% of total consumer spending, surpassing mobile games for the first time. While total downloads stabilized at 37 billion, the market displayed clear signs of maturation; gaming downloads contracted by 6.8% year-over-year, while AI-driven productivity tools and short-drama streaming platforms emerged as the primary engines of growth. The United States maintained its position as the premier revenue market at $15 billion, though emerging regions such as Brazil and various African nations are increasingly vital for download volume and monetization expansion.

Within the gaming sector, Strategy titles overtook RPGs as the highest-grossing category, achieving a 23% year-over-year increase. However, the most significant individual performance came from ChatGPT, which became the fastest application to reach one billion downloads and secured a position among the top five global revenue earners. This surge in AI utility was mirrored in the advertising sector, where U.S. digital ad spend rose 12% to $34 billion. Major technology firms including Microsoft, Google, and Adobe significantly increased their marketing budgets to promote AI integrations like Copilot, contributing to a landscape where social media maintains a 72.5% share of total ad spend.

Retail media has solidified its role as a critical advertising channel, with U.S. impressions rising 29% to 65 billion across various retailers. Despite this broad growth, Amazon remains the undisputed leader in the space, generating nearly 80 billion impressions and outperforming all other tracked retailers combined. These findings are supported by expanded tracking capabilities across key Asian markets and diverse digital channels, though the data specifically excludes certain year-over-year Amazon metrics due to recent tracking implementation. Overall, the quarter reflects a pivot toward high-utility AI applications and a diversifying advertising ecosystem dominated by social and retail platforms.

Southeast Asia solidified its position as the world’s second-largest mobile gaming market by downloads in early 2025, reaching 1.93 billion installs. While the region currently ranks seventh globally in revenue at $625 million, it demonstrates significant monetization potential fueled by expanding digital payment infrastructure and rising smartphone penetration. Indonesia serves as the primary volume driver with 870 million installs, while Thailand leads the region in consumer spending, generating $162 million. This growth is increasingly supported by publishers based in Singapore and Vietnam, who have emerged as a dominant global force, contributing over 5.8 billion installs to the international market through a mix of hypercasual hits and competitive titles.

Market dynamics reveal a shift toward high-engagement genres and localized content strategies. Although casual arcade and simulation games drive the highest download volumes, monetization is concentrated in Strategy, MOBA, and RPG segments. Mobile Legends: Bang Bang remains the regional revenue leader, sustained by hyper-local live operations and community engagement. Simultaneously, the 4X Strategy genre is experiencing rapid expansion, highlighted by a 77.7% revenue surge for titles like Last War: Survival. Conversely, traditional MMORPGs have seen a decline of nearly 20%, making way for Open World Adventure RPGs and sophisticated strategy games that leverage deep social and competitive mechanics.

The regional landscape is characterized by distinct national preferences and the global expansion of local firms. Vietnam has become a powerhouse for survival-themed hypercasual games, while Thailand shows a unique affinity for realistic sports simulations. Established titles like Garena Free Fire continue to dominate global charts by blending cultural relevance with nostalgic collaborations. Ultimately, the region’s trajectory is defined by a transition from high-volume downloads to sophisticated monetization, driven by a combination of community-led activations and the strategic global influence of Southeast Asian publishers.

Mobile gaming marketers currently face a critical measurement crisis driven by tightening privacy regulations, increased media fragmentation, and the inherent inaccuracies of traditional Last-Touch Attribution. These factors have rendered legacy models insufficient for capturing the true impact of marketing spend, as they frequently over-index on bottom-of-funnel touchpoints while ignoring the incremental value generated by upper-funnel awareness campaigns. To maintain competitive advantage and optimize Return on Ad Spend, the industry is transitioning toward sophisticated Marketing Mix Modeling, which leverages aggregated, privacy-compliant data to provide a more comprehensive view of channel performance.

The most effective strategy for modern publishers involves a dual-measurement framework that integrates tactical, real-time insights from Last-Touch Attribution with the strategic, long-term perspective offered by Marketing Mix Modeling. This hybrid approach is particularly vital for organizations managing substantial monthly budgets across diverse media channels, provided they possess at least one year of historical data to ensure model accuracy. By identifying the true incrementality of various platforms, developers can move beyond attribution blind spots and allocate resources with greater precision.

This analytical shift is essential for navigating the complexities of the global mobile gaming landscape. Platforms such as Kochava’s Always-On Incremental Measurement, often utilized in tandem with partners like TikTok for Business, represent the current standard for advertisers seeking to reconcile privacy-first data requirements with the need for actionable growth insights. Adopting these advanced modeling techniques allows publishers to move past fragmented measurement silos, ensuring that marketing investments are directed toward the channels that provide the most significant, measurable impact on long-term user acquisition and revenue growth.

The 2023 AAA game advertising landscape underwent a strategic pivot toward launch-focused campaigns, with new releases accounting for half of all top-tier spending. This shift reflects a broader industry trend of prioritizing high-impact, multi-channel visibility to capture immediate market share. While YouTube remains the dominant advertising medium for PC and console titles, publishers have increasingly diversified their media mix by integrating Facebook, TikTok, and Instagram to target specific demographics. This evolution in outreach is complemented by a growing reliance on platform-based partnerships, such as deep Xbox branding and hardware collaborations, which serve to anchor major titles within broader ecosystem strategies.

Creative execution in 2023 varied significantly based on the title’s core value proposition. Successful campaigns ranged from the consistent, exploration-themed branding of single-player experiences like Hogwarts Legacy to the dark, horror-inspired aesthetics and live-service integration of titles like Diablo IV. Furthermore, the industry increasingly utilized transmedia efforts and review-based accolades to sustain momentum. However, the year also highlighted the risks of fragmented marketing, as seen with Call of Duty: Modern Warfare III, which suffered from a lack of a cohesive reveal campaign and negative consumer perception regarding its status as a standalone sequel.

Ultimately, the year demonstrated that while massive advertising budgets and established intellectual property remain primary drivers for AAA success, organic viral growth and streamlined gameplay models also provide viable paths to market dominance. The industry is currently defined by a tension between traditional, high-spend multi-channel campaigns and the rising influence of mobile-first strategies and community-driven engagement. As publishers navigate these shifting dynamics, the ability to align creative messaging with specific platform strengths and cross-industry partnerships has become the definitive factor in maintaining visibility within an increasingly competitive global market.

The analysis demonstrates that mobile‑game marketing is increasingly driven by real‑time, AI‑enhanced creative data sourced from a global platform covering more than 80 countries and 1.6 billion daily‑updated assets. This infrastructure enables marketers to identify high‑quality, short‑form clips—particularly TikTok‑style and live‑action videos—that accelerate testing cycles and reduce acquisition costs. User acquisition remains the primary lever for installs, while retargeting is essential to sustain engagement and monetization. Emerging formats such as non‑intrusive in‑game audio ads and custom product pages are gaining traction, reflecting a broader shift toward data‑driven, AI‑augmented strategies.

Genre‑level insights reveal that role‑playing games dominated advertising in the first half of 2025, with a competitive creative volume of 224 monthly assets per genre. Casino titles experienced a 14.5 % year‑over‑year increase in advertiser share, while tower‑defense gameplay surged across top titles. Geographic intensity is highest in North America and Europe, with Southeast Asia following closely; all regions exhibit a pronounced move toward AI‑generated creatives. North American advertisers grew 25.8 % in H1 2025, deploying over 5 million creatives and favoring high‑quality portrait formats (720×1280, 52 s) that drive strong engagement metrics.

The study identifies a critical mismatch between creative freshness and acquisition costs, noting that many campaigns suffer from delayed updates and poorly targeted landing pages. Recommendations emphasize increasing creative refresh rates, refining audience segmentation, and rigorous A/B testing to sustain novelty and improve return on investment. Overall, the findings underscore a mobile‑gaming ecosystem that is rapidly adopting AI‑driven creative production and diversified monetization tactics, with North America and Europe leading in both volume and innovation.

The Israeli mobile game market reached approximately $9 billion in 2021, driven by more than 200 companies and 14,000 employees. Casual, puzzle, and hyper‑casual titles now represent about one‑third of global mobile game advertising spend, a share amplified by COVID‑19‑induced growth in user acquisition and in‑app purchases. Israel has emerged as a pivotal source of high‑volume advertisers, particularly for action, strategy, and simulation games across iOS and Android platforms. Leading studios—Playtika, Plarium, Moon Active, and Crazy Labs—have scaled to global prominence, with their games ranking among the top 20 Israeli titles by ad spend and contributing substantially to worldwide revenue.

Two flagship games illustrate this trend. RAID: Shadow Legends, launched in 2019, has exceeded 50 million downloads and generated roughly $700 million, with the United States accounting for 70 % of revenue and 40 % of downloads. Its 2022 advertising strategy deployed an average of 1,100 creatives daily, primarily on Google Ads and Facebook, with a heavier focus on Android. Coin Master, released in 2010 and revitalized in 2019, earned about $1.3 billion in 2021—over half from the U.S.—and averaged 2,500 creatives per day in 2022. The campaign concentrated on video formats across Google Ads for both iOS and Android, reflecting the dominance of video in mobile‑game advertising.

Regional analysis shows distinct creative preferences. In the U.S., live‑action, KOL‑driven strategy tips dominate; Japanese campaigns emphasize character art and voice to drive gacha revenue; Korean ads showcase advanced graphics through extended gameplay footage. Across genres, short, engaging videos that spotlight core mechanics or narrative hooks are rising in popularity. Hyper‑casual ads now conclude on success rather than failure, strategy titles incorporate casual puzzles to widen appeal, RPGs employ influencer‑style clips, and simulation games use sympathetic drama with accessible gameplay to attract female players. These findings underscore a highly segmented, video‑centric advertising ecosystem that aligns creative content with regional tastes and genre conventions.

The 2025 digital gaming market is defined by a strategic pivot toward user quality and high-velocity creative iteration, with global advertising expenditure reaching $8.7 billion. Despite a year-over-year decline in total mobile and PC downloads, the industry remains robust through the resurgence of the shooter genre and the continued dominance of 4X Strategy and Casual titles. Geographically, growth is concentrated in North American and Asian markets, fueled by high-profile releases such as Battlefield 6 and Valorant Mobile. This landscape reflects a shift where major publishers like Microsoft and Dream Games utilize aggressive spending to maintain market share in an increasingly competitive environment.

Advertising strategies have evolved to prioritize "instantly legible" gameplay and the rapid deployment of creative assets to combat audience fatigue. Static image ads remain a resilient tool due to their cost-effectiveness, while generative AI is increasingly employed to test and iterate high volumes of creative concepts. Intellectual property collaborations, featuring franchises like Naruto and Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles, serve as a primary mechanism for lowering acquisition costs. Furthermore, platforms like YouTube have become essential for reaching PC and console audiences, while Apple Search Ads are leveraged tactically to capture competitor keywords and dominate search visibility.

The digital ecosystem also highlights the growing influence of internal discovery and content creators. Roblox maintains a massive web presence with over 187 billion visits, driven largely by organic traffic and internal discovery mechanisms rather than traditional external advertising. Meanwhile, viral indie titles and major releases like Marvel Rivals achieve commercial success by leveraging creator-led marketing. Ultimately, the industry in 2025 is characterized by a sophisticated blend of data-driven acquisition, aggressive platform-specific tactics, and a reliance on established IPs to navigate a market where engagement quality has surpassed sheer scale as the primary metric for success.

The mobile advertising landscape in the third quarter of 2023 reveals a shifting environment characterized by a decline in total advertisers but a significant surge in video-centric content. Data indicates that the total number of advertisers fell to 54,900, a 7% year-over-year decrease compared to the 59,000 recorded in the third quarter of 2022. Despite this overall contraction, the gaming, entertainment, and lifestyle verticals maintained upward momentum in advertiser activity. In the United States specifically, the market saw 4.68 billion downloads and $6.5 billion in revenue, with gaming securing the top position in both metrics despite slight year-over-year market drops.

Creative strategies have pivoted heavily toward video formats, which now account for 80% of all creatives, up from 69% in the previous quarter. This growth comes at the expense of static images, while playable ads remain a niche segment at 2% of the market. Analysis of the 15.2 million total creatives shows a heavy platform bias toward Android, which hosts 68% of ad content compared to 32% on iOS. In the competitive US market, top-tier advertisers maintain a massive scale, averaging nearly 54,000 creatives across nine different ad networks.

The rise of User-Generated Content (UGC) has become a central pillar of modern mobile UA strategy. Effective creative execution now relies on organic trends, charismatic creators, and native storytelling techniques. Key findings suggest that successful UGC ads utilize "problem-solution" narratives, text overlays to accommodate sound-off viewing, and sketches that align with brand values. By leveraging creators who mirror the target audience and utilizing cliffhangers or popular music, advertisers are increasingly focusing on engagement and virality to offset the broader downward trend in the number of active market participants.