Affan Butt emphasizes that trust and rapport are established well before a formal sale process begins. This long-term cultivation defines the industry's M&A landscape.
Trust first. Successful deals are often the result of years of cultivation.
Many former major buyers have been acquired themselves. The remaining pool consists of large public strategics, private strategics, and private equity firms.
Fewer buyers. The gaming M&A landscape has consolidated significantly, leaving a limited pool of acquirers.
In a tight-knit industry, public bidding wars can backfire and erode trust with potential buyers. Founders are cautioned against viewing inbound interest as automatic validation.
Maintaining transparency and avoiding sudden shifts in performance projections are critical to preventing deal collapse.
Earnouts frequently fail when founders lose control over variables like launch costs or engine changes. EBITDA-based targets in final years can discourage investment in new title launches.
Alignment risk. Earnout structures often fail due to poor alignment, such as EBITDA-based targets in final years.
This practice varies in cultural acceptance across different geographic regions.
Founder liquidity. Secondary share sales can serve as effective tools for founder liquidity without negatively impacting company performance.
A proactive approach to understanding the evolving buyer landscape is necessary. This landscape now includes sovereign wealth funds, private equity, and specialized strategic investors.
Proactive approach. The most significant risk for founders is not a failed deal, but a missed opportunity.
Escrows, indemnities, and liability caps are typically negotiated during periods of maximum exhaustion. Founders must be prepared for these technical aspects.
The gaming industry’s merger and acquisition landscape is defined by long-term relationship building rather than purely transactional interactions. Affan Butt, co-founder of the investment bank Aream & Co., emphasizes that successful deals are often the result of years of cultivation, where trust and rapport are established well before a formal sale process begins. Since its inception in 2019, Aream & Co. has advised on over 110 gaming transactions totaling $40 billion, representing more than half of all sell-side deals exceeding $100 million in the sector over the last five years.
The methodology for navigating these deals centers on rigorous preparation and psychological management. Founders are cautioned against viewing inbound interest from corporate development teams as automatic validation, as these inquiries are often routine. Furthermore, the current market environment features a shrinking pool of acquirers due to geopolitical constraints and the consolidation of previous buyers. Consequently, aggressive bidding wars can backfire, damaging a founder’s reputation and trust within a tight-knit industry. Maintaining transparency and avoiding sudden shifts in performance projections during due diligence are critical to preventing deal collapse.
Strategic advice for founders includes the judicious use of secondary share sales to provide liquidity without sacrificing long-term commitment, a practice that varies in cultural acceptance across different geographic regions. While earnouts can serve as effective alignment tools, they frequently become traps when poorly structured or when founders lose control over the variables—such as launch costs or engine changes—that dictate their payouts. Ultimately, the most significant risk for founders is not a failed deal, but a missed opportunity, necessitating a proactive approach to understanding the evolving buyer landscape, which now includes sovereign wealth funds, private equity, and specialized strategic investors.