GameRefinery

Research

30 documents

Documents

Market Snapshot: Q1 2021 US, China & Japan

The mobile gaming market in the first quarter of 2021 demonstrated regional divergence in genre performance, with the United States remaining relatively stable while China and Japan experienced notable shifts in market share. In the US, simulation games continued to grow, and Roblox Corporation solidified its position as the top-grossing publisher. Conversely, Japan saw a decline in RPG market share alongside a significant rise in sports titles, driven by the breakout success of Cygames’ Uma Musume Pretty Derby. China’s market moved away from traditional RPG and strategy dominance, favoring a surge in shooter games. Data analysis reveals distinct trends in monetization and feature implementation across these regions. Collectible albums have become a staple in the US, utilized by over 70% of top-grossing games. In Japan, battle pass mechanics are gaining traction, appearing in over 25% of top-grossing titles. Meanwhile, Chinese developers have doubled the year-over-year utilization of special gacha mechanics, which now appear in 30% of top-grossing games. Social features, particularly guild mechanics and co-op modes, remain essential for retention across puzzle, RPG, and strategy genres. The analysis utilizes a proprietary genre taxonomy and a motivation framework to categorize player archetypes. In the US market, the top 200 grossing games primarily appeal to five distinct archetypes, with a rising trend toward the Skill Master archetype, indicating an increased consumer appetite for competitive gameplay that rewards reflexes and skill. These findings are based on iOS market performance data, publisher share metrics, and an evaluation of soft-launch titles, providing a comprehensive view of the mobile landscape during the transition from late 2020 to early 2021.

market-analysis mobile usa+2

GameRefineryApr 2021

Report

Casino Snapshot Report: Market, Features & Updates, Motivations (March 2021)

This analysis examines the state of the mobile Casino game category in the United States during the fourth quarter of 2020. Utilizing a proprietary three-layered taxonomy and data from the GameRefinery SaaS platform, the findings highlight that Casino games represent the second-largest revenue-generating category on iOS in the US, accounting for 17.2% of total mobile game revenue. The research identifies three primary subgenres—Slots, Poker/Cards, and Bingo—and evaluates their market share, competitive landscapes, and player motivations. The data reveals that Slots is the dominant subgenre, responsible for 80% of the category's revenue. Unlike Poker and Bingo, which are characterized by "king of the hill" titles like World Series of Poker and Bingo Blitz, the Slots market is highly competitive with no single dominant leader. Market share is distributed relatively evenly among the top five titles, including Slotomania and DoubleDown Casino. The study notes that the Casino market is mature, with most top-grossing titles having maintained their positions for several years, making it difficult for new challengers to break into the top charts. Methodology involves a survey of over 7,000 mobile gamers across English-speaking Western markets to identify key motivational drivers. Findings indicate that Casino players are primarily driven by excitement, competition, and treasure collection. Consequently, top-performing games increasingly adopt "meta" features from other genres to drive engagement. Key differentiating features include collectible albums, guild mechanics for social play, and "Piggy Bank" monetization systems. For instance, 60% of top-tier Casino games utilize collectible mechanics compared to only 36% of the broader category, illustrating a clear correlation between complex progression features and commercial success.

market-analysis social-casino mobile+1

GameRefineryMar 2021

Report

In-Game Events Snapshot

The snapshot presents a comprehensive overview of in‑game event strategies across the global mobile gaming market, focusing on seasonal and promotional collaboration events. It establishes that 90 % of the top‑grossing 100 mobile titles deploy seasonal events, while 40 % of US iOS top‑100 games feature brand collaborations. These events are highlighted as key drivers for player re‑engagement, new user acquisition, and revenue spikes, with examples such as Sky: Children of the Light’s Kizuna AI partnership and Genshin Impact’s Lantern Rite event, which each generated multi‑million daily revenue surges. The report details the taxonomy of events—UI changes, limited‑time offers, playable content, and special bundles—and identifies profitable revenue streams: time‑limited skins, character drops, themed currency, and gacha mechanics. Seasonal calendars list major holidays (Christmas, Lunar New Year, Halloween) and region‑specific observances (Double Five in China, Sakura season in Japan), underscoring the importance of cultural relevance. Geographic scope covers North America, China, and Japan, with data on event adoption rates: 51 % of Chinese top‑100 games and 62 % of Japanese top‑100 games use promotional collaborations, compared to 42 % in the US. Methodology relies on GameRefinery’s SaaS platform, aggregating revenue and event data from thousands of titles. Key conclusions emphasize that events remain a differentiator for high‑performing games, offering scalable monetization and cross‑brand synergy. The snapshot recommends that developers evaluate event fit against audience demographics, content alignment, and potential for brand partnership to maximize engagement and revenue.

monetization live-ops global

GameRefineryJan 2021

Report

Match3 Genre Snapshot Report May 2021 (2021)

The Match3 subgenre represents the largest segment of the US iOS mobile gaming market, accounting for approximately 16% of total revenue as of mid-2021. While established titles have dominated the charts for years, the landscape is evolving through the integration of complex meta-layers and sophisticated monetization strategies. Notably, every new Match3 title that entered the top 500 grossing rankings between late 2019 and early 2021 utilized traditional swapping mechanics, signaling a preference for familiar core gameplay enhanced by modern secondary features. Meta-elements, particularly customization and decoration, have become essential components of modern Match3 success. Recent megahits like Royal Match and Project Makeover demonstrate this trend by blending core puzzle mechanics with narrative progression and aesthetic choices. Beyond gameplay, monetization has shifted toward loss aversion mechanics and diverse live operations. Data indicates that recurring live events, special event rewards, and limited-time in-app purchase offers have the highest impact on revenue. Social features, including guild mechanics and "send/ask help" systems, further bolster engagement and retention within the subgenre. Player motivation analysis, based on a survey of over 7,000 mobile gamers across major English-speaking markets, reveals distinct psychological drivers. While traditional titles like Candy Crush Saga rely heavily on the "Thinking & Solving" and "Completing Milestones" drivers, the broader Match3 market is increasingly leaning into "Customization & Decoration." This shift highlights a move away from pure puzzle-solving toward a more expressive and multi-layered player experience. The findings suggest that future growth in the category depends on balancing core puzzle mastery with social competition and deep meta-progression.

market-analysis mobile puzzle+2

GameRefineryJan 2021

Report

Shooter Genre Snapshot

The report examines the mobile shooter genre in the United States, positioning it as the sixth‑largest segment on iOS and accounting for roughly six percent of total revenue. It attributes recent shifts to the removal of Fortnite from the App Store, which created a vacuum that Call of Duty: Mobile, PUBG Mobile, and Garena Free Fire filled. Garena’s title has experienced the most dramatic growth, doubling quarterly revenue and capturing a share comparable to Call of Duty. Market data show that no new shooter has entered the top 500 in two years, underscoring stagnation and a lack of fresh IPs. Key monetization patterns are identified: battle passes, limited‑time gacha events, and frequent cosmetic drops drive revenue. The analysis highlights the high content cadence of leading shooters, with regular updates that introduce new maps, modes, and seasonal rewards. It also notes the strategic use of social features such as guilds and clan wars to increase player retention. The document projects potential disruption from upcoming titles tied to major IPs—Valorant Mobile, Apex Legends Mobile, Battlefield Mobile, and Final Fantasy VII: The First Soldier—while questioning whether these will generate the sustained content pipeline required to compete with the entrenched “Big Three.” The report concludes that, despite a current lull, the shooter market remains highly competitive and poised for potential renewal if new entrants can match the monetization sophistication of existing leaders.

market-analysis global shooter+1

GameRefineryJan 2021

Report

Market Snapshot: Q2 2021 US, China & Japan

The mobile gaming market in the second quarter of 2021 experienced notable shifts in genre performance and publisher dominance across the United States, China, and Japan. The primary objective is to provide a comparative analysis of these regional markets, highlighting evolving trends in genre market share, publisher success, and the increasing importance of live-service feature updates. The analysis utilizes a proprietary taxonomy and motivation framework, supported by a survey of over 7,000 mobile gamers in English-speaking western countries, to categorize games and identify player archetypes. Key findings indicate that the United States saw a decline in the Puzzle genre’s market share, while the Strategy genre experienced significant growth. In Japan, the Sports genre continued to gain momentum, largely driven by the success of titles like Umamusume Pretty Derby, while RPGs faced a decline. China exhibited a trend reversal from the previous quarter, with RPG and Strategy genres regaining market share at the expense of Shooters. Publisher performance was marked by strong results from Supercell in the US and Cygames in Japan, while Leiting Games nearly doubled its market share in China. A critical trend identified is the 37% year-over-year increase in feature updates, with Strategy games leading this surge at 208%. Developers are increasingly prioritizing engagement through non-recurring live events and limited in-app purchase offers, which saw frequency increases of 143% and 122%, respectively. These features are becoming essential for retention and monetization across major genres. Furthermore, player motivation data reveals that games appealing to fast-paced action and competitive play continue to dominate the top-grossing charts in the US, with specific archetypes like King of the Hill and Skill Master remaining highly relevant.

market-analysis mobile usa+3

GameRefineryJan 2021