Sensor Tower

The forecast outlines how generative‑AI, short‑form video and evolving ad formats will reshape the digital economy by 2026. It argues that AI‑driven applications will move from a niche category to a core revenue engine, rivaling traditional paid‑media traffic and reshaping user‑acquisition dynamics across mobile, web and gaming. The analysis draws on Sensor Tower’s app‑store, advertising and web‑traffic datasets, applying its App IQ and Game IQ taxonomies to the top publishers, the 1,000 most‑visited U.S. sites and the leading Steam releases, with historical data through December 2025 and forward projections to 2026.

Generative‑AI apps are projected to generate more than $10 billion in worldwide in‑app‑purchase revenue, achieve 7.2 billion downloads and capture 43 billion hours of usage in 2026—an 82 % year‑over‑year increase that will place the genre among the top five for downloads, revenue and engagement. Short‑drama vertical video is forecast to overtake traditional OTT streaming in download volume, securing roughly 80 % of downloads and closing the IAP gap to 20 % of OTT’s share, driven by rapid adoption in markets such as India, Indonesia and Brazil. Meanwhile, U.S. digital ad spend will total $20 billion, with image‑based creatives outpacing video growth (35 % versus 15 % YoY) as social platforms, especially Meta’s Reels, shift budgets toward static formats.

On the web, generative‑AI traffic will surpass paid sources on more than half of the top 1,000 U.S. sites by the end of 2026, up from 37 % in late 2025,

The analysis projects a rapid expansion of the digital economy through 2026, driven primarily by generative AI applications and vertical video formats. Generative‑AI apps are expected to generate more than $10 billion in in‑app purchase revenue by 2026, with downloads projected to reach 4 billion and user engagement exceeding 43 billion hours. The genre will climb into the top five mobile categories across downloads, revenue, and time spent, surpassing established sectors such as shopping and movies. Short‑drama vertical video is forecast to overtake traditional OTT streaming in global downloads, narrowing the revenue gap and capturing 40 % of time spent by 2026.

Digital advertising spending is shifting back toward image‑based creatives, with a 35 % year‑over‑year increase in image ad spend and a projected acceleration of this trend by 2026, especially within social channels where Reels and similar formats dominate. Meanwhile, generative AI traffic to the top 1,000 U.S. websites is projected to rise by more than 130 % YoY, reaching a point where half of these sites receive higher traffic from AI than paid sources by the end of 2026.

Mobile game acquisition costs remain high, and the market is trending toward smaller, ad‑native titles that can monetize efficiently. Steam releases are accelerating, with 2025 already breaking records for new titles, indicating a shift toward faster, lower‑budget development cycles. Overall, the report underscores a digital landscape increasingly shaped by AI‑driven content and streamlined monetization models across mobile, web, and gaming sectors.

The global gaming landscape in 2025 is defined by a strategic synergy between the accessibility of mobile platforms and the immersive depth of PC and console ecosystems. Mobile serves as the primary engine for discovery and user acquisition, generating over 52 billion annual downloads and $82 billion in in-app purchase revenue. Meanwhile, PC and console platforms, led by storefronts like Steam, anchor brand loyalty and drive high-value engagement through seasonal peaks and premium content. By leveraging mobile’s massive reach to feed into high-fidelity ecosystems, publishers maximize total franchise growth and ensure long-term revenue stability.

Publishers are increasingly bridging these distinct markets through four primary models: companion apps, "lite" versions for mass-market discovery, adapted experiences, and full cross-platform progression. Success stories such as the EA SPORTS FC companion app, which reached 78 million downloads, demonstrate how mobile accessibility sustains franchise loyalty. Furthermore, titles like PUBG Mobile and Delta Force illustrate that mobile engagement frequently drives corresponding spikes in PC player activity. This interconnectedness is particularly effective for RPGs and Shooters, which utilize unified ecosystems and shared progression to significantly increase player lifetime value and retention.

Ultimately, a successful cross-platform strategy balances high-volume mobile genres, such as Simulation and Puzzle, with the prestige and monetization intensity of blockbuster PC and console releases. Adapting complex intellectual properties into accessible mobile formats allows franchises to capitalize on broader cultural trends, as seen with the resurgence of the Fallout brand. By treating mobile as a discovery engine and PC/console as the anchor for brand identity, publishers can effectively navigate the global market to capture both broad audiences and high-spending core players.

Global mobile app consumer spending reached a record $43.2 billion in the third quarter of 2025, representing an 11.3% year-over-year increase. This growth was primarily fueled by a 20% surge in non-game revenue, particularly from Generative AI tools which generated $1.5 billion during the period. While total global downloads remained stable at 37.6 billion, a clear divergence emerged between sectors; non-game downloads grew by 5.5%, while gaming installs continued a post-pandemic decline. Geographically, the United States maintained its market leadership with $15 billion in revenue, though Brazil emerged as the fastest-growing major market with a 29% revenue increase. India simultaneously reached a two-year high in downloads, surpassing 6.5 billion.

The digital advertising landscape saw significant expansion, with U.S. spend rising 12% to $35.9 billion. Social media remains the dominant channel, capturing 72% of the market, but mobile app advertising is the fastest-growing segment at 42% year-over-year. Within specific industries, the gaming sector entered the top five spending categories for the first time following a 28% increase in investment. Strategic shifts were also evident in the insurance and consumer goods sectors, where companies like Geico and Procter & Gamble executed massive quarterly spending spikes to capitalize on premium fluctuations and seasonal demand.

Retail media has become a critical pillar of the digital economy, dominated heavily by Amazon. Generating over 80 billion impressions, Amazon’s reach surpassed the combined total of the next thirty major retailers. Outside of Amazon's ecosystem, retail media impressions grew 7% year-over-year, though performance was inconsistent across platforms; Target and Best Buy saw double-digit growth while Walmart experienced a decline. Personal care remains the most competitive retail category, driven by high-volume co-branded partnerships between major manufacturers and established retail platforms.

The analysis evaluates global digital‑marketing dynamics for the final quarter of 2025, emphasizing shifts in channel performance, the rise of generative‑AI as a discovery source, and the concentration of retail‑media reach among dominant platforms. Growth patterns reveal a stark regional divide: India stands alone among the five largest markets as the only one posting positive overall change, while other leading economies recorded declines or stagnation.

In the United States, retail‑media impressions expanded 13 percent quarter‑over‑quarter to reach 123 billion, with Amazon accounting for the entire volume and delivering more than six times the impressions generated by Walmart. This concentration underscores Amazon’s expanding role as the primary conduit for retail‑media exposure in North America. Across the same period, generative‑AI referrals, although still representing less than one percent of total traffic, surged dramatically—up 133 percent year‑over‑year in the United States, United Kingdom and France, and 126 percent in Canada. The rapid acceleration signals that chat‑based assistants such as ChatGPT, Claude and Gemini are emerging as significant discovery engines despite their modest share of overall visits.

Conversely, traditional organic search experienced the only decline among major acquisition channels, falling four percent year‑over‑year. Paid advertising, email marketing and other performance‑driven tactics continued to post gains, reinforcing a broader transition toward paid and AI‑augmented pathways for user acquisition. The findings collectively illustrate a digital‑marketing ecosystem increasingly dominated by platform‑centric retail media and AI‑driven referral mechanisms, while legacy search channels lose ground in mature markets.

The global digital landscape reached a significant milestone in the second quarter of 2025, as in-app purchase revenue hit a record $40 billion. This period marked a historic structural shift in the mobile economy, with non-gaming applications accounting for 52% of total consumer spending, surpassing mobile games for the first time. While total downloads stabilized at 37 billion, the market displayed clear signs of maturation; gaming downloads contracted by 6.8% year-over-year, while AI-driven productivity tools and short-drama streaming platforms emerged as the primary engines of growth. The United States maintained its position as the premier revenue market at $15 billion, though emerging regions such as Brazil and various African nations are increasingly vital for download volume and monetization expansion.

Within the gaming sector, Strategy titles overtook RPGs as the highest-grossing category, achieving a 23% year-over-year increase. However, the most significant individual performance came from ChatGPT, which became the fastest application to reach one billion downloads and secured a position among the top five global revenue earners. This surge in AI utility was mirrored in the advertising sector, where U.S. digital ad spend rose 12% to $34 billion. Major technology firms including Microsoft, Google, and Adobe significantly increased their marketing budgets to promote AI integrations like Copilot, contributing to a landscape where social media maintains a 72.5% share of total ad spend.

Retail media has solidified its role as a critical advertising channel, with U.S. impressions rising 29% to 65 billion across various retailers. Despite this broad growth, Amazon remains the undisputed leader in the space, generating nearly 80 billion impressions and outperforming all other tracked retailers combined. These findings are supported by expanded tracking capabilities across key Asian markets and diverse digital channels, though the data specifically excludes certain year-over-year Amazon metrics due to recent tracking implementation. Overall, the quarter reflects a pivot toward high-utility AI applications and a diversifying advertising ecosystem dominated by social and retail platforms.

Sensor Tower introduces Game IQ Deep Tags, a taxonomy of 70 specialized markers designed to analyze the impact of specific mobile game features on market performance. These tags are categorized into gameplay, monetization, engagement, and social elements, providing developers with a framework to benchmark competitor roadmaps and identify high-value feature sets. The analysis covers the top 1,000 mobile games globally from Q2 2024 through Q1 2025, a segment representing 16 billion downloads and $67 billion in consumer spend.

The findings reveal that feature density does not always correlate with market dominance. In the casual puzzle genre, titans like Royal Match and Candy Crush Saga utilize fewer luxury features, such as voice acting or cinematic cutscenes, compared to competitors like Gardenscapes, suggesting that core gameplay often outweighs feature volume. Conversely, in the mid-core RPG and strategy sectors, comprehensive monetization and engagement systems are standard. For instance, Age of Empires Mobile demonstrates high revenue per download by utilizing nearly all available monetization tags, while top RPGs leverage IP collaborations and recurring task systems to maximize player retention and session length.

The research identifies significant growth opportunities in the hybridcasual segment, where features like in-app purchase (IAP) bundles remain underutilized despite correlating with a $1.77 increase in lifetime revenue per download. Additionally, portfolio analysis of top publishers like Tencent, Scopely, and King shows a universal prioritization of login systems to track player data, while specific mechanics like "monetized retries" remain niche to casual puzzle specialists. Ultimately, the data suggests that strategic feature implementation, rather than exhaustive adoption, is the primary driver of commercial success across different mobile gaming verticals.

Southeast Asia solidified its position as the world’s second-largest mobile gaming market by downloads in early 2025, reaching 1.93 billion installs. While the region currently ranks seventh globally in revenue at $625 million, it demonstrates significant monetization potential fueled by expanding digital payment infrastructure and rising smartphone penetration. Indonesia serves as the primary volume driver with 870 million installs, while Thailand leads the region in consumer spending, generating $162 million. This growth is increasingly supported by publishers based in Singapore and Vietnam, who have emerged as a dominant global force, contributing over 5.8 billion installs to the international market through a mix of hypercasual hits and competitive titles.

Market dynamics reveal a shift toward high-engagement genres and localized content strategies. Although casual arcade and simulation games drive the highest download volumes, monetization is concentrated in Strategy, MOBA, and RPG segments. Mobile Legends: Bang Bang remains the regional revenue leader, sustained by hyper-local live operations and community engagement. Simultaneously, the 4X Strategy genre is experiencing rapid expansion, highlighted by a 77.7% revenue surge for titles like Last War: Survival. Conversely, traditional MMORPGs have seen a decline of nearly 20%, making way for Open World Adventure RPGs and sophisticated strategy games that leverage deep social and competitive mechanics.

The regional landscape is characterized by distinct national preferences and the global expansion of local firms. Vietnam has become a powerhouse for survival-themed hypercasual games, while Thailand shows a unique affinity for realistic sports simulations. Established titles like Garena Free Fire continue to dominate global charts by blending cultural relevance with nostalgic collaborations. Ultimately, the region’s trajectory is defined by a transition from high-volume downloads to sophisticated monetization, driven by a combination of community-led activations and the strategic global influence of Southeast Asian publishers.

The global mobile gaming market entered a period of mature recovery in 2024, characterized by a strategic pivot toward live services and high-value player retention. While total downloads declined by 6.6%, global in-app purchase revenue grew by 4% to reach $82 billion. This growth was primarily driven by North America and the Middle East, offsetting spending declines in Asia. The industry has transitioned into a "live operations" era, where 84% of all revenue is generated by games utilizing continuous updates and seasonal events. This shift is further evidenced by a 50% decrease in new game releases since 2020, as publishers prioritize high-quality core titles over volume.

Genre performance highlights a market dominated by Strategy and RPG titles, which collectively generated over $34 billion in 2024. Action games emerged as the fastest-growing category with a 46% revenue increase, fueled by breakout hits like Last War: Survival. Despite the dominance of established franchises, a record 11 games surpassed $1 billion in annual consumer spend, including MONOPOLY GO!, which secured the top global position. The market is also seeing a demographic shift, particularly in the United States, where the 18-24 age group now represents 18% of the player base, up from 13% in 2022.

Marketing strategies have evolved to combat rising user acquisition costs, with a significant move toward high-intent creative content and short-form video platforms. TikTok experienced a 67% year-over-year growth in social ad share, while mid-core developers nearly doubled their impression share on social networks. To maintain profitability, publishers are increasingly leveraging external web stores, celebrity partnerships, and localized cultural influencers, such as virtual YouTubers in the Japanese market. These trends underscore a broader industry movement toward sophisticated monetization models and IP-driven growth in an increasingly concentrated competitive landscape.

The global mobile economy reached a significant milestone in 2024, with consumer spend hitting $150 billion. This growth was primarily propelled by a 25% surge in non-gaming app revenue, particularly within the entertainment, productivity, and generative AI sectors. While total app downloads declined for the fourth consecutive year, indicating a maturing market, user engagement reached a record 4.2 trillion hours. The rise of generative AI served as a primary catalyst for this engagement, with AI chatbot downloads increasing by 635 million and the subgenre generating nearly $1.3 billion in revenue.

The mobile gaming sector demonstrated a robust recovery in 2024, reaching $80.9 billion in internal purchase revenue. Although total game downloads fell by 6%, the market shifted toward high-quality, core genres. Strategy and RPG titles dominated monetization, while the "hybrid-casual" model—combining simple mechanics with midcore progression—emerged as a vital growth driver. Established franchises continue to exert dominance, with titles older than two years accounting for over 80% of revenue. Notably, the industry saw a record eleven games surpass $1 billion in annual revenue, signaling a concentration of wealth among top-tier performers.

Beyond gaming, the landscape was defined by the continued dominance of social media, which accounted for 2.4 trillion hours of global usage. TikTok became the first non-game app to reach $15 billion in lifetime spend, reflecting a broader trend of social platforms diversifying revenue through in-app purchases and subscriptions. In the retail sector, Chinese e-tailers like Temu and SHEIN expanded their global footprint, while the finance sector saw a resurgence driven by cryptocurrency and digital wallets. Despite signs of "digital fatigue" in traditional streaming, the mobile ecosystem remains resilient, characterized by strategic shifts toward ad-supported tiers, meaningful AI integration, and incentivized health and fitness platforms.

The 2023 AAA game advertising landscape underwent a strategic pivot toward launch-focused campaigns, with new releases accounting for half of all top-tier spending. This shift reflects a broader industry trend of prioritizing high-impact, multi-channel visibility to capture immediate market share. While YouTube remains the dominant advertising medium for PC and console titles, publishers have increasingly diversified their media mix by integrating Facebook, TikTok, and Instagram to target specific demographics. This evolution in outreach is complemented by a growing reliance on platform-based partnerships, such as deep Xbox branding and hardware collaborations, which serve to anchor major titles within broader ecosystem strategies.

Creative execution in 2023 varied significantly based on the title’s core value proposition. Successful campaigns ranged from the consistent, exploration-themed branding of single-player experiences like Hogwarts Legacy to the dark, horror-inspired aesthetics and live-service integration of titles like Diablo IV. Furthermore, the industry increasingly utilized transmedia efforts and review-based accolades to sustain momentum. However, the year also highlighted the risks of fragmented marketing, as seen with Call of Duty: Modern Warfare III, which suffered from a lack of a cohesive reveal campaign and negative consumer perception regarding its status as a standalone sequel.

Ultimately, the year demonstrated that while massive advertising budgets and established intellectual property remain primary drivers for AAA success, organic viral growth and streamlined gameplay models also provide viable paths to market dominance. The industry is currently defined by a tension between traditional, high-spend multi-channel campaigns and the rising influence of mobile-first strategies and community-driven engagement. As publishers navigate these shifting dynamics, the ability to align creative messaging with specific platform strengths and cross-industry partnerships has become the definitive factor in maintaining visibility within an increasingly competitive global market.

The mobile puzzle game market is undergoing a significant structural evolution, characterized by a shift in product models and a notable rise in hybridcasual gaming. This analysis, covering global data from January 2018 through June 2023, examines the performance of various puzzle sub-genres, including swap, blast, chain, and pair mechanics. By leveraging store intelligence and download estimates from the Apple App Store and Google Play, the findings highlight how developers are increasingly integrating meta-features and diversified monetization strategies to sustain revenue in a maturing landscape.

A central finding is the remarkable growth of the hybridcasual product model, which saw a 430% increase in revenue between early 2022 and early 2023. While traditional casual games continue to dominate overall market share through consistent operations and robust meta-features, they have experienced modest declines in both downloads and revenue. Conversely, hybridcasual titles—particularly within the pair sub-genre—have successfully captured user interest by blending accessible gameplay with more sophisticated monetization tactics, such as in-app purchases, which were previously less common in hypercasual-leaning segments.

The data indicates that sub-genres like pair have emerged as high-growth areas, with hybridcasual revenue in this category rising from $7 million in the first quarter of 2022 to $40 million by the first quarter of 2023. Meanwhile, other established sub-genres, such as merge and physics, have seen download declines as their reliance on hypercasual models wanes. Successful top-tier games across all categories now frequently employ a combination of live operations, season passes, and social clans to drive engagement. Ultimately, the puzzle market is moving toward a hybrid approach, where the simplicity of casual mechanics is increasingly supported by the deeper monetization and retention frameworks typically associated with mid-core titles.