Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory

Risk Game: Capturing Impact of Information Quality on Human Belief Assessment and Decision Making

The Risk Game methodology serves as a specialized framework for eliciting expert knowledge regarding human cognitive processes during complex decision-making tasks.

• Elevated levels of false information in decision-making environments directly correlate with increased cognitive confusion and a higher probability of operational errors.
• High-certainty data and specific object attributes serve as the primary drivers for human belief revision during complex analytical tasks.
• The Risk Game methodology, validated by 32 maritime experts, provides a domain-independent, gamified platform that effectively mirrors real-world analytical challenges like intelligence gathering and crisis management.